Several likely scenarios are possible, and we need to account for all of them. Russia is still producing massive amounts of war equipment every day and many reports are suggesting that a lot of it is not going to Ukraine anymore. Same reports suggest Russia is also training new troops that are not sent to Ukraine. So in the scenario that Ukraine does not win and the Russian economy holds up for a while longer than expected, we are in big trouble. We can’t take the risk of just assuming that Russia will collapse.
Several likely scenarios are possible, and we need to account for all of them. Russia is still producing massive amounts of war equipment every day and many reports are suggesting that a lot of it is not going to Ukraine anymore. Same reports suggest Russia is also training new troops that are not sent to Ukraine. So in the scenario that Ukraine does not win and the Russian economy holds up for a while longer than expected, we are in big trouble. We can’t take the risk of just assuming that Russia will collapse.